PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency

Post-2012 Climate Policy Scenarios

Report | 05-07-2007
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The cost and effectiveness of climate policy in Europe depend on the international post-2012 climate regime. This report analyzes four alternative policy scenarios. The analysis shows that only if all major countries become actively involved in emissions abatement before 2020, the EU 2 degree climate target is feasible.

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A global coalition of all major countries is needed to meet the EU 2 degree climate target

The cost and effectiveness of climate policy in Europe depend on the international post-2012 climate regime. Crucial are the stringency of the policy and the size of the climate coalition, e.g. the willingness of regions outside Europe to implement a climate policy. This report analyzes four alternative policy scenarios. These four scenarios are characterised along two dimensions: the sense of urgency expressed by the policy goal, and the willingness to resolve the climate problem through concerted action. This analysis provides a background for identifying the best mitigation options, both in the Netherlands and the EU. Only if all major countries become actively involved in emissions abatement before 2020, the EU 2 degree climate target is feasible. In smaller coalitions the costs to coalition members and the environmental ineffectiveness tend to increase.



In cooperation with:

Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis

Bibliography
Author(s)Boeters S ; Elzen MGJ den ; Manders T ; Veenendaal P ; Verweij G - Elzen MGJ den (eds)
Report no.500114006
Publication date05-07-2007
Pages37
Taalnl