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Energy and Climate Change

Facts and figures about Energy and Climate Change

The Green China plus scenario results in some mitigation of the global temperature increase, but not enough to achieve the 2 °C target.

Green China plus scenario: in the China region, China’s Green Transition Pathway, expected economic development and demographic development as projected by the Development Research Centre (DRC) of the China State Council; and worldwide: current and planned policies on climate change mitigation.

The China region in the IMAGE model comprises mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan, as well as Mongolia

By 2050, under the Green China plus scenario, China’s carbon dioxide emissions will be almost halved, compared to those under the baseline scenario. However, this is only half of what is needed for climate stabilisation at an average warming of 2 °C.

Green China plus scenario:

The figure shows the median value for each category in the IPCC AR5 WGIII scenario database for CO2 emissions (panel a), the increase in global mean temperature (panel b) and the probability of staying below 1.5 °C (panel c) for all scenarios included in the AR5 WGIII Scenario database (Clarke et al., 2014; Krey et al., 2014).

Progress of countries to achieve 2030 target (November 2017).

The degree to which the 25 major emitting countries are likely to achieve their NDC targets under current policies was found to vary.