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Side events COP24 with contribution from PBL

The Emissions Gap Report 2018 – the emissions gap and opportunities to bridge it

When: 4 December 2018 (Tuesday), 14:00 -15:00

Where: German Pavilion – Bonn Zone

Nations must triple their efforts in order to achieve the 2 °C climate  target, according to the 2018 edition of UNEP’s annual Emissions Gap Report. Although it is still possible to keep global warming to below 2 °C, the technical feasibility of bridging the 1.5 °C gap is dwindling. Researchers at PBL were among the leading and contributing authors of this study.

Presentations: Michel den Elzen (PBL), Joeri Rogelj (Imperial College London), Niklas Höhne (NewClimate Institute), Angel Hsu (Yale-NUS College)

Independent climate assessments – presentation of the UNEP Emissions Gap Report and the Brown to Green Report 2018

When: 4 December 2018 (Tuesday), 17:00 -18:30

Where: EU PPavilion, COP Venue

The Brown to Green Report, covering 80 indicators, is the world’s most comprehensive review of G20 climate action (mitigation, policies and finance). The UNEP Gap Report presents an assessment of current national mitigation efforts and the ambitions countries have presented in their Nationally Determined Contributions, which form the foundation of the Paris Agreement. Both reports provide the best current overview of climate performance on the global level.

Presentations: Michel den Elzen (PBL), Anne Olhoff (UNEP), Niklas Höhne (NewClimate Institute)

Meet-the-Expert: Are countries on track to meet their NDC targets?

When: 7 December 2018 (Friday), 16:30 -18:00

Where: EU Pavilion, COP Venue

This event presents the latest insights of quantitative assessments of the projected GHG emissions pathways and key energy indicators for major emitting countries, taking into account the most recent current and planned mitigation policies.

Presentations: Michel den Elzen (PBL), Heleen van Soest (PBL), Takeshi Kuramochi (NewClimate Institute)

Tracking progress on Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs): Gaps and needs on national and regional policy and research strategy

When: 8 December 2018 (Saturday), 10:30-12:00 am

Where: EU Pavilion, COP Venue

This side event will present research results, tools and initiatives aiming at monitoring, evaluating and implementing national NDCs both in Northern and Southern countries. The range of results will include research on tracking countries’ progress towards achieving NDCs, and the application of good practice policies. It will also present needs and gaps in terms of scientific research and policy implementation.

Presentations: Michel den Elzen (PBL), Heleen van Soest (PBL), Takeshi Kuramochi (NewClimate Institute), Jean-Luc Chotte (IRD), Jasmin Cantzler & Thibaud Lemercier (Climate Analytics)

Contribution to panel on Chapter 2 of the IPCC Special Report on 1.5 °C

When: 12 December 2018 (Wednesday), 10:00 – 11:30

Where: IPCC Pavilion (H3), COP venue

Presentations: Key findings of Chapter 2 (Joeri Rogelj, CLA Chapter 2); The 1.5 °C Transition: Challenges and Opportunities (Elmar Kriegler, LA Chapter 2); Maximising Synergies between the Sustainable Development Goals (Christophe McGlade, IEA); Panel discussion (Joeri Rogelj, Elmar Kriegler, Christophe McGlade, Heleen van Soest, moderated by Youba Sokona, IPCC Vice-Chair).

Initiatives to Strengthen National Modelling Capacities: Tools for Linking Climate Policies to Sustainable Development

When: 12 December 2018 (Wednesday), 14:00 – 15:00

Where: PCCB Capacity-Building Hub / RYSY Meeting Room 24 - Area E, COP venue

The EU Horizon 2020 funded project – Linking Climate and Development Policies – Leveraging International Networks and Knowledge Sharing – (CD-LINKS) explicitly aims to establish a research network and capacity building platform in order to leverage knowledge-exchange among institutions from Europe and key emerging economies and developing countries. This side event will introduce the CD-LINKS project and its activities, focusing specifically on how national-global interactions and climate-sustainable development linkages are modelled, and the capacity building activities initiated to achieve its objectives.

Presentations: Dr. Volker Krey (IIASA): Integrated climate change and sustainable development analysis at the national and global scale – an overview of the CD-LINKS project ; Ms. Heleen van Soest (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency): Tools for assessing the impact of climate policies and NDC, Dr. Daniel Huppmann (IIASA): The MESSAGEix modeling framework and other state-of-the-art tools for integrated scenario analysis


The COMMIT project will organise two side events at the COP24 (December 2018, Katowice). One official UNFCCC event, on 13 December, jointly organised with WRI Mexico, and one at the EU pavilion on 13 December, jointly organised with IIASA (CD-LINKS project) and UBA (Germany).

NDC and LTS modelling: opportunities, lessons learnt and roadmaps for Brazil, Indonesia, Mexico

When: 13 December 2018 (Thursday), 18:30 – 20:00

Where: Room ‘Bieszczady’, COP venue, Livestream via UNFCCC

Scenario analyses from collaborative modelling projects show ways to achieve NDCs and mid-century strategies, and opportunities to increase ambition. Cases from Brazil, Indonesia, Mexico and other G20 countries are presented, and lessons learnt about the process of developing a mid-century strategy.

Presentations: Juan Carlos Altamirano (WRI), Heleen van Soest & Detlef van Vuuren (PBL), Andrés Flores Montalvo (WRI), Representative from the Ministry of the Environment (Mexico), Alexandre Köberle (COPPE), Marcio Rojas Da Cruz (Ministry of Science, Technology, Innovation and Communications, Brazil), Arief Wijaya (Indonesia), Rachmat Witoelar (Indonesian President’s Special Envoy for Climate Change), Vaibhav Chaturvedi (CEEW).

What a low-carbon world really looks like in the next decades: Modelling tools used and required for long-term planning

When: 13 December 2018 (Thursday), 14:30 – 16:00

Where: EU pavilion, COP venue

To showcase the modelling underlying the EU's long term strategy (ex. GECO). In a second instance, to bring Major economies to the front to elaborate on their experience in different areas of implementation and policy design, based on collaborative projects from across the globe.

Presentations: Elmar Kriegler (PIK), Detlef van Vuuren (PBL), David McCollum (IIASA), Kimon Keramidas (JRC), Guido Knoche (UBA), Markus Hagemann (NewClimate Institute), Artur Runge-Metzger (European Commission), Alexandre Köberle (COPPE), Swapnil Shekhar (TERI), Vaibhav Chaturvedi (CEEW)