Identifying Potential Clusters of Future Migration Associated With Water Stress in Africa
Water stress negatively affects rural livelihoods that depend on agriculture. In some contexts, this can influence migration decisions, especially in vulnerable regions with limited adaptive capacity…
Navigating the political: An analysis of political calibration of integrated assessment modelling in light of the 1.5 °C goal
Some of the most influential explorations of low-carbon transformations are conducted with Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs). The recent attempts by the IPCC to look for pathways compatible with the…
The plastics integrated assessment model (PLAIA): Assessing emission mitigation pathways and circular economy strategies for the plastics sector
Integrated assessment models (IAM) study the interlinkages between human and natural systems and play a key role in assessing global strategies to reduce global warming. However, they largely neglect…
Quantifying synergies and trade-offs in the global water-land-food-climate nexus using a multi-model scenario approach
The human-earth system is confronted with the challenge of providing a range of resources for a growing and more prosperous world population while simultaneously reducing environmental degradation…
Climate change impacts on the energy system: a model comparison
Increasing renewable energy use is an essential strategy for mitigating climate change. Nevertheless, the sensitivity of renewable energy to climatic conditions means that the energy system's…
BLOEM: A spatially explicit model of bioenergy and carbon capture and storage, applied to Brazil
Bioenergy could play a major role in decarbonizing energy systems in the context of the Paris Agreement. Large-scale bioenergy deployment could be related to sustainability issues and requires major…
Land-based climate change mitigation measures can affect agricultural markets and food security
Earlier studies have noted potential adverse impacts of land-related emissions mitigation strategies on food security, particularly due to food price increases—but without distinguishing these…
Translating Global Integrated Assessment Model Output into Lifestyle Change Pathways at the Country and Household Level
Countries’ emission reduction commitments under the Paris Agreement have significant implications for lifestyles. National planning to meet emission targets is based on modelling and analysis specific…
Defining a sustainable development target space for 2030 and 2050
With the establishment of the sustainable development goals (SDGs), countries worldwide agreed to a prosperous, socially inclusive, and environmentally sustainable future for all. This ambition…
Establishing long-term nitrogen response of global cereals to assess sustainable fertilizer rates
Insight into the response of cereal yields to nitrogen fertilizer is fundamental to improving nutrient management and policies to sustain farm economy and food sufficiency with minimum nitrogen…
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
