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Building climate resilience through nature-based solutions in Europe

The European Union (EU) has firmly positioned itself as a global leader in promoting and implementing nature-based solutions (NBS). In a recently published article, 13 authors from various European…

Coherence present. Navigating towards a sustainable future

The world is looking for ways to navigate challenges, such as climate change mitigation and adaptation, food security and biodiversity loss, in order to safeguard current and future global well-being…

Future projections of biodiversity and ecosystem services in Europe

Projections of future changes in biodiversity and ecosystem services (BES) are of increasing importance to inform policy and decision-making on options for conservation and sustainable use of BES…

Projecting terrestrial biodiversity intactness with GLOBIO 4

This study evaluates changes in terrestrial biodiversity intactness, expressed by the mean species abundance (MSA) metric, resulting from three socio-economic development scenarios from 2015 to 2050.

Nitrogen leaching from natural ecosystems under global change: a modelling study

To study global nitrogen (N) leaching from natural ecosystems under changing N deposition, climate, and atmospheric CO 2 , we performed a factorial model experiment for the period 1901–2006 with the N…

New EU-scale environmental scenarios until 2050 – Scenario process and initial scenario applications

As part of the Openness project, new EU scenarios focusing on natural capital and ecosystem services were developed. These were applied at different regional socio-environmental conditions…

Exploring future changes in land use and land condition and the impacts on food, water, climate change and biodiversity: Scenarios for the UNCCD Global Land Outlook

The pressure on land is growing in many regions of the world, due to the increasing demand for arable crops, meat and dairy products, bio-energy and timber, and is exacerbated by land degradation and…

Perspectives on the future of nature in Europe: storylines and visualisations

The occurrence of many species in the EU is expected to decline further, making it difficult to achieve the 2050 policy vision. The Nature Outlook study elaborates four perspectives on the future of…

Indicators and modelling of land use, land management and ecosystem services

This report provides the technical description of seven models on ecosystem services on a European scale. The ecosystem services included are carbon sequestration, erosion prevention, flood regulation…

BioScore 2.0, a species-by-species model to assess anthropogenic impacts on terrestrial biodiversity in Europe

The BioScore 2.0 model analyses impacts of human-induced pressures on European terrestrial biodiversity. The model can be used for scenario analysis and the assessment of policy options. This report…