Guide for Uncertainty Communication


Dealing with uncertainty, in terms of analysis and communication, is an important and distinct topic for PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. Without paying adequate attention to the role and implications of uncertainty, research and assessment results may be of limited value and could lead to incorrect policy decisions and all the related consequences.

Offering support in communicating uncertainty

When presenting the results from a policy study, it is a challenge for researchers, authors and communicators to adequately and concisely inform their public on important uncertainty issues. Presenting the information in a way that addresses the often varying informational needs of target audiences adds to that challenge.The Guide for Uncertainty Communication, which is part of the Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and Communication, helps researchers and communicators to obtain a clear picture of why uncertainty communication is important and to whom it should be addressed, and stimulates them to make well-considered choices when deciding on what, where and how to present this information. For this purpose, the Guide for Uncertainty Communication offers a combination of hints and points of attention, as well as questions for researchers/communicators when communicating about uncertainty (e.g. in written reports and presentations).


J. Arjan Wardekker, Penny Kloprogge, Arthur C. Petersen (PBL), Peter H.M. Janssen (PBL), Jeroen P. van der Sluijs (Utrecht University, Copernicus Institute)


Publication title
Guide for Uncertainty Communication
Publication date
17 December 2013
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