China is entering a crucial period of economic transformation, largely triggered by environmental issues. Chinese advisors are formulating a policy framework to guide this vast, complex and decades-long transformation. Meanwhile, PBL has made a start with assessing the worldwide implications. The PBL study was carried out at the request of the China Council for International Collaboration on Environment and Development.
PBL conducted model-based scenario analyses based on the recently developed Shared Socio-Economic Pathways. Economic projections were compared with those of the Development Research Centre of the State Council of China. PBL’s results are in terms of world regions, including the China region.
The PBL study is the result of a preliminary project, rather than a full assessment. It was carried out in collaboration with Utrecht University and with the financial support of the Ministry of Infrastructure and Water Management.
Shared Socio-economic Pathways
- A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways
- Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm
Global Land Outlook
- United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification. The Global Land Outlook.
- Exploring future changes in land use and land condition and the impacts on food, water, climate change and biodiversity: Scenarios for the Global Land Outlook
- China Council for International Collaboration on Environment and Development