Publications

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GHG mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries: an overview of recently adopted policies

NewClimate Institute, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency and IIASA present an overview of on climate change mitigation policies in 25 major emitting countries/regions that have been…

Enhancing global climate policy ambition towards a 1.5 °C stabilization: a short-term multi-model assessment

The Paris Agreement is a milestone in international climate policy as it establishes a global mitigation framework towards 2030 and sets the ground for a potential 1.5 °C climate stabilization. To…

Developments in monitoring climate change adaptation in urban areas. Quick scan of experiences outside the Netherlands.

In support of the Dutch Delta Programme on Spatial Adaptation, PBL has conducted a quick scan of developments outside the Netherlands in methods to monitor the impact (output and outcome) of policies…

The geography of future water challenges

This publication shows that, without improved water management or adaptation to climate change, the global sustainability goals cannot be achieved. The report highlights the urgent need for an…

Comparing future patterns of energy system change in 2 °C scenarios to expert projections

Integrated assessment models (IAMs) are computer-based instruments used to assess the implications of human activity on the human and earth system. They are simultaneously also used to explore…

The geography of future water challenges - Background reports

These background documents provide the scientific justification of the information produced for PBL report ‘The Geography of Future Water Challenges’.

Climate extremes, land–climate feedbacks and land-use forcing at 1.5°C

This article investigates projected changes in temperature and water cycle extremes at 1.5°C of global warming, and highlights the role of land processes and land-use changes (LUCs) for these…

Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C

The 2015 Paris Agreement calls for countries to pursue efforts to limit global-mean temperature rise to 1.5 °C. The transition pathways that can meet such a target have not, however, been extensively…

Forms and subannual variability of nitrogen and phosphorus loading to global river networks over the 20th century

Nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) loading of global aquatic ecosystems has doubled during the 20th century and at the same time has the nutrient composition been disturbed by increasing proportions of…

Signal detection in global mean temperatures after Paris: an uncertainty and sensitivity analysis

Since large financial flows will be needed to keep GMSTs (global mean surface temperatures) below 2.0 °C, it is important to know how GMST has progressed since pre-industrial times. We performed an…