Can global models provide insights into regional mitigation strategies? A diagnostic model comparison study of bioenergy in Brazil
The usefulness of global integrated assessment model (IAM) results for policy recommendation in specific regions has not been fully assessed to date. This study presents the variation in results…
Using Decomposition Analysis to Determine the Main Contributing Factors to Carbon Neutrality across Sectors
This paper uses decomposition analysis to investigate the key contributions to changes in greenhouse gas emissions in different scenarios. We derive decomposition formulas for the three highest…
Short- and long-term warming effects of methane may affect the cost-effectiveness of mitigation policies and benefits of low-meat diets
Methane’s short atmospheric life has important implications for the design of global climate change mitigation policies in agriculture. Three different agricultural economic models are used to explore…
The Impact of Socio-Economic Inertia and Restrictions on Net-Negative Emissions on Cost-Effective Carbon Price Pathways
Many countries have indicated to plan or consider the use of carbon pricing. Model-based scenarios are used to inform policymakers about emissions pathways and cost-effective carbon prices. Many of…
Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot
Global emissions scenarios play a critical role in the assessment of strategies to mitigate climate change. The current scenarios, however, are criticized because they feature strategies with…
Net zero-emission pathways reduce the physical and economic risks of climate change
Mitigation pathways exploring end-of-century temperature targets often entail temperature overshoot. Little is known about the additional climate risks generated by overshooting temperature. Here we…
Projecting long-term armed conflict risk: An underappreciated field of inquiry?
Interest in potential armed conflict risks following climate change impacts is increasing among scientists and policymakers. But until today, little research has been done on projecting the possible…
Global implications of crop-based bioenergy with carbon capture and storage for terrestrial vertebrate biodiversity
Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) based on purpose-grown lignocellulosic crops can provide negative CO 2 emissions to mitigate climate change, but its land requirements present a…
Phosphorus for Sustainable Development Goal target of doubling smallholder productivity
The supply of phosphorous is crucial to food security. Future phosphorous management will therefore play an important role in achieving Sustainable Development Goal 2 (SDG2, zero hunger). However, in…
What drives the ecological quality of surface waters? A review of 11 predictive modeling tools
What policy is needed to ensure that good-quality water is available for both people’s needs and the environ-ment? The EU Water Framework Directive (WFD), which came into force in 2000, established a…
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
