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Impact of fragmented emission reduction regimes on the energy market and on CO2-emissions related to land use

In recent years, an approach based on voluntary pledges by individual regions has attracted interest of policy-makers and consequently also climate policy research. In this paper, we analyze scenarios…

Scientific Opinion on good modelling practice in the context of mechanistic effect models for risk assessment of plant protection products

The EFSA Panel on Plant Protection Products and its Residues (PPR Panel) has developed a guidance document on good modelling practice. This guidance document is relevant to the evaluation of models to…

Multi-model comparison of the economic and energy implications for China and India in an international climate regime

This paper presents a modeling comparison on how stabilization of global climate change at about 2 °C above the pre-industrial level could affect economic and energy systems development in China and…

Implications of the international reduction pledges on long-term energy system changes and costs in China and India

This paper analyses the impact of postponing global mitigation action on abatement costs and energy systems changes in China and India. It compares energy-system changes and mitigation costs from a…

A land-use systems approach to represent land-use dynamics at continental and global scales

Most of the current global land cover datasets and global scale land-use models use a classification of land cover based on the dominant land cover type within a distinct region or pixel. Such a…

Scientific Opinion on the science behind the guidance for scenario selection and scenario parameterisation for predicting environmental concentrations of plant protection products in soil

The EFSA Panel on Plant Protection Products and its Residues (PPR Panel) developed a revised methodology for the assessment of exposure of soil organisms to pesticides. In contrast to previous…

Model projections for household energy use in India

Energy use in developing countries is heterogeneous across households. Present day global energy models are mostly too aggregate to account for this heterogeneity. Here, a bottom-up model for…

Predictability, equitability and adequacy of post-2012 international climate financing proposals

This study assesses four proposals to generate funds for international climate financing in developing countries according to three criteria: adequacy, predictability and equitability. The focus year…
Article

Uncertainty and risk in climate projections for the 21st century

There are by now many studies on estimation of uncertainty of climate system properties and model parameters but still only few on probabilistic climate projections. Moreover, most of these studies…

A quantitative minimax regret approach to climate change: Does discounting still matter?

Integrated assessment models have been widely used to inform policymakers about attractive climate response strategies. An important application of integrated assessment models is cost-benefit…