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Signal detection in global mean temperatures after Paris: an uncertainty and sensitivity analysis

Since large financial flows will be needed to keep GMSTs (global mean surface temperatures) below 2.0 °C, it is important to know how GMST has progressed since pre-industrial times. We performed an…

Unpacking the nexus: Different spatial scales for water, food and energy

Recent years have shown increased awareness that the use of the basic resources water, food, and energy are highly interconnected (referred to as a ‘nexus’). Spatial scales are an important but…

Exploring SSP land-use dynamics using the IMAGE model: Regional and gridded scenarios of land-use change and land-based climate change mitigation

Projected increases in population, income and consumption rates are expected to lead to rising pressure on the land system. Ambitions to limit global warming to 2 °C or even 1.5 °C could also lead to…

National Energy Outlook 2017

Renewable energy generation and energy saving are increasing, energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions are decreasing. However, various targets for energy and climate for 2020, will not be…

Nitrogen leaching from natural ecosystems under global change: a modelling study

To study global nitrogen (N) leaching from natural ecosystems under changing N deposition, climate, and atmospheric CO 2 , we performed a factorial model experiment for the period 1901–2006 with the N…

The worldwide context of China’s Green Transition to 2050

China is entering a crucial period of economic transformation, largely triggered by environmental issues. Chinese advisors are formulating a policy framework to guide this vast, complex and decades…

Greenhouse gas emission curves for advanced biofuel supply chains

Most climate change mitigation scenarios that are consistent with the 1.5–2 °C target rely on a large-scale contribution from biomass, including advanced (second-generation) biofuels. However, land…

Limiting global temperature change to 1.5 °C

There are several important factors that influence the size of the carbon budgets that are consistent with the ambition of the Paris Climate Agreement ‘to limit global temperature increase to well…

UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2017

Governments and non-state actors need to deliver an urgent increase in ambition to ensure the Paris Agreement goals can still be met according to 2017 annual Emissions Gap report by UNEP. Researchers…

CO2 emissions from fuel combustion Part III: Total Greenhouse Gas Emissions; 2017 Edition

CO 2 emissions from fuel combustion represent the majority of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. To complement work regarding the emissions of CO 2 from fuel combustion, the International Energy…