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The IMAGE Model Suite used for the OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050

In the Environmental Outlook to 2050 from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) a number of scenarios and projection are used which are calculated with the IMAGE model…

Inferences on weather extremes and weather-related disasters: a review of statistical methods

The study of weather extremes and their impacts, such as weather-related disasters, plays an important role in research of climate change. When scanning peer-reviewed literature on weather extremes…

Climate policy after Kyoto – Analytical insights into key issues in the climate negotiations

Limiting global warming to 2 °C above pre-industrial levels is the objective agreed on in international climate negotiations. Due to upward revisions of greenhouse gas emission projections in emerging…

Forks in the Road - Alternative routes for international climate policies

Several scenarios are possible for future international climate policies, each with a different role in the climate negotiations under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC…

Special issue of Climatic Change journal on the RCP released

A new Special issue of the journal Climatic Change describes four new key scenarios for the climate research community: the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCPs). The RCPs describe a wide range…

Exploring the bargaining space within international climate negotiations based on political, economic and environmental considerations

This study provides a conceptual framework for exploring the bargaining space within international climate negotiations based on important economic, political and environmental considerations.

Uncertainty, precaution, and risk governance

Do new and uncertain risks threaten human health? Because science is unable to sufficiently answer this question, risk and safety policies confront limits, exemplified by climate change and adaptation…

The implications of climate policy for the impacts of climate change on global water resources

This paper assesses the implications of climate policy for exposure to water resources stresses. It compares a Reference scenario which leads to an increase in global mean temperature of 4 °C by the…

Climate change under aggressive mitigation: the ENSEMBLES multi-model experiment

This paper present results from multiple comprehensive models used to simulate an aggressive mitigation scenario based on detailed results of an Integrated Assessment Model. The experiment employs ten…

Holocene carbon emissions as a result of anthropogenic land cover change

Humans have altered the Earth’s land surface since the Paleolithic mainly by clearing woody vegetation first to improve hunting and gathering opportunities, and later to provide agricultural cropland…