The use of scenarios as the basis for combined assessment of climate change mitigation and adaptation
Scenarios are used to explore the consequences of different adaptation and mitigation strategies under uncertainty. In this paper, two scenarios are used to explore developments with no mitigation…
Uncertainty and risk in climate projections for the 21st century
There are by now many studies on estimation of uncertainty of climate system properties and model parameters but still only few on probabilistic climate projections. Moreover, most of these studies…
The relationship between short-term emissions and long-term concentration targets
The relationship between long-term climate goals and short/medium-term emission targets forms crucial information for the design of international climate policy. Since IPCC’s 4th Assessment Report…
Impact of future land use and land cover changes on atmospheric chemistry‐climate interactions
To demonstrate potential future consequences of land cover and land use changes beyond those for physical climate and the carbon cycle, we present an analysis of large-scale impacts of land cover and…
Adaptation strategy for climate-proofing biodiversity
Nature areas in the Netherlands are vulnerable to the consequences of climate change. Under implementation of the current nature policy, sustainable conservation of all plant- and animal species in…
Spatial planning of a climate adaptation zone for wetland ecosystems
In a publication in Landscape Ecology we present a spatial planning approach for the implementation of adaptation measures to climate change in conservation planning for ecological networks…
Options to accelerate ozone recovery: ozone and climate benefits
Hypothetical reductions in future emissions of ozone-depleting substances (ODSs) and N 2 O are evaluated in terms of effects on equivalent effective stratospheric chlorine (EESC), globally-averaged…
Assessing an IPCC assessment. An analysis of statements on projected regional impacts in the 2007 report
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency has found no errors that would undermine the main conclusions in the 2007 report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) on possible…
Misrepresentation of the IPCC CO2 emission scenarios
Fossil fuel CO 2 emissions have increased significantly during the last decade. However, contrary to some statements in recent publications, current emissions are not higher than covered in the…
Including adaptation costs and climate change damages in evaluating post-2012 burden-sharing regimes
Many studies have been published to evaluate the consequences of different post-2012 emission allocation regimes on regional mitigation costs. This paper goes one step further and evaluates not only…
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
