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Enhanced policy scenarios for major emitting countries

Other type | 20-04-2015

This study provides an overview of projected greenhouse gas emissions of 13 major emitting countries up to 2030, taking into account the emission trajectories based on current and planned policies, and selected enhanced mitigation measures that are in line with national priorities. Some countries are likely to achieve their 2020 pledges through current policies, while others require the effective implementation of planned policies or additional measures.

Ecofys & NewClimate Institute, IIASA and PBL estimated the impact of current, planned and selected enhanced policies on greenhouse gas emissions.

  • Some countries are likely to achieve their 2020 pledges through current policies, while others require the effective implementation of planned policies or additional measures.
  • Significant further reductions are possible through an illustrative (not exhaustive) selection of enhanced mitigation actions.
  • Even though current and planned policies are projected to have an effect on emissions, increases would still occur in Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico and Turkey, up to 2030.
  • With the selected enhancement measures included here, China and Mexico would stabilise emissions by 2030, at the latest. The EU, Japan, South Korea, and the United States would achieve a pathway with further reductions in line with their long-term targets. Emissions in India, Indonesia and Turkey would continue to increase strongly.

 

Author(s)Michel den Elzen, Hanna Fekete, Annemiek Admiraal, Nicklas Forsell, Niklas Höhne, Anu Korosuo, Mark Roelfsema, Heleen van Soest, Karlien Wouters, Thomas Day, Markus Hagemann, Andries Hof, Aline Mosnier
Publication date20-04-2015