Regional feedbacks under changing climate and land-use conditions
Ecosystem responses to a changing climate and human-induced climate forcings (e.g. deforestation) might amplify (positive feedback) or dampen (negative feedback) the initial climate response…
The Dutch Delta is vulnerable to the possible consequences of climate change, such as sea level rise and higher river discharges. Strengthening the dykes to become ‘unbreachable’ (Delta dykes) may…
Cobenefits of climate and air pollution regulations
In 2011, the European Commission published its roadmap towards a competitive low-carbon economy for 2050. For this roadmap the possibilities of a far-reaching reduction in greenhouse gas emissions in…
Based on joint modelling by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency the Environmental Outlook to 2050 looks ahead to…
The IMAGE Model Suite used for the OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050
In the Environmental Outlook to 2050 from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) a number of scenarios and projection are used which are calculated with the IMAGE model…
Does 'grey' urban living lead to more 'green' holiday nights? A Netherlands Case Study
Urbanisation is seen as essential to wealth creation and increased productivity, but the process has costs as well as benefits. In the present paper we conduct an empirical analysis for the highly…
Global travel within the 2 degree Celsius climate target
Long-term scenarios generally project a steep increase in global travel demand, leading to an rapid rise in CO 2 emissions. Major driving forces are the increasing car use in developing countries and…
Mapping the future urbanization patterns on the urban fringe in the Netherlands
Long-range scenario studies suggest an ongoing urbanization process on the urban fringe in the Netherlands. This article maps out the urbanization patterns that are expected for the coming decades…
Simulation of movement of pesticides towards drains with a preferential flow version of PEARL
In the current Dutch authorisation procedure for calculating exposure of surface water organisms to pesticides, artificial drainage from agricultural fields is not accounted for. As drainage may be an…
A land-use systems approach to represent land-use dynamics at continental and global scales
Most of the current global land cover datasets and global scale land-use models use a classification of land cover based on the dominant land cover type within a distinct region or pixel. Such a…