The emissions gap between the Copenhagen pledges and the 2 °C climate goal: Options for closing and risks that could widen the gap
As part of the Copenhagen Accord, Annex I Parties (industrialised countries) and non-Annex I Parties (developing countries) have submitted reduction proposals (pledges) and mitigation actions to the…
Land Use, Climate Change and Biodiversity Modeling: Perspectives and Applications
The book Land use, climate change and biodiversity modeling: perspectives and applications combines state-of-the-art modelling approaches at various scales with case studies from across the world. The…
Do new and uncertain risks threaten human health? Because science is unable to sufficiently answer this question, risk and safety policies confront limits, exemplified by climate change and adaptation…
The implications of climate policy for the impacts of climate change on global water resources
This paper assesses the implications of climate policy for exposure to water resources stresses. It compares a Reference scenario which leads to an increase in global mean temperature of 4 °C by the…
Climate change under aggressive mitigation: the ENSEMBLES multi-model experiment
This paper present results from multiple comprehensive models used to simulate an aggressive mitigation scenario based on detailed results of an Integrated Assessment Model. The experiment employs ten…
Indirect land use change emissions related to EU biofuel consumption
Biofuels have recently been promoted in policies as a way to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from the transport sector. However, biofuel production in itself also induces emissions directly as well as…
The Copenhagen Accord: abatement costs and carbon prices resulting from the submissions
As part of the Copenhagen Accord, individual countries have submitted greenhouse gas reduction proposals for the year 2020. This paper analyses the implications for emission reductions, the carbon…
Holocene carbon emissions as a result of anthropogenic land cover change
Humans have altered the Earth’s land surface since the Paleolithic mainly by clearing woody vegetation first to improve hunting and gathering opportunities, and later to provide agricultural cropland…
Quantitative analysis of patterns of vulnerability to global environmental change
The impacts of global change, including environmental changes, pose increasing risks for people around the globe. In this context, we developed and applied a methodology to quantitatively assess the…
The use of scenarios as the basis for combined assessment of climate change mitigation and adaptation
Scenarios are used to explore the consequences of different adaptation and mitigation strategies under uncertainty. In this paper, two scenarios are used to explore developments with no mitigation…
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