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Special issue of Climatic Change journal on the RCP released

A new Special issue of the journal Climatic Change describes four new key scenarios for the climate research community: the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCPs). The RCPs describe a wide range…

Exploring the bargaining space within international climate negotiations based on political, economic and environmental considerations

This study provides a conceptual framework for exploring the bargaining space within international climate negotiations based on important economic, political and environmental considerations.

Land Use, Climate Change and Biodiversity Modeling: Perspectives and Applications

The book Land use, climate change and biodiversity modeling: perspectives and applications combines state-of-the-art modelling approaches at various scales with case studies from across the world. The…

Uncertainty, precaution, and risk governance

Do new and uncertain risks threaten human health? Because science is unable to sufficiently answer this question, risk and safety policies confront limits, exemplified by climate change and adaptation…

The implications of climate policy for the impacts of climate change on global water resources

This paper assesses the implications of climate policy for exposure to water resources stresses. It compares a Reference scenario which leads to an increase in global mean temperature of 4 °C by the…

Climate change under aggressive mitigation: the ENSEMBLES multi-model experiment

This paper present results from multiple comprehensive models used to simulate an aggressive mitigation scenario based on detailed results of an Integrated Assessment Model. The experiment employs ten…

Holocene carbon emissions as a result of anthropogenic land cover change

Humans have altered the Earth’s land surface since the Paleolithic mainly by clearing woody vegetation first to improve hunting and gathering opportunities, and later to provide agricultural cropland…

The use of scenarios as the basis for combined assessment of climate change mitigation and adaptation

Scenarios are used to explore the consequences of different adaptation and mitigation strategies under uncertainty. In this paper, two scenarios are used to explore developments with no mitigation…

The relationship between short-term emissions and long-term concentration targets

The relationship between long-term climate goals and short/medium-term emission targets forms crucial information for the design of international climate policy. Since IPCC’s 4th Assessment Report…

Uncertainty and risk in climate projections for the 21st century

There are by now many studies on estimation of uncertainty of climate system properties and model parameters but still only few on probabilistic climate projections. Moreover, most of these studies…