Studie naar de voedselzekerheid effecten van mondiaal klimaatbeleid
Veel mondiale klimaatstrategieën maken gebruik van bio-energie en herbebossing. Beide strategieën gebruiken ook land en kunnen daardoor leiden tot een stijging van voedselprijzen. Als hier niets aan…
First forcing estimates from the future CMIP6 scenarios of anthropogenic aerosol optical properties and an associated Twomey effect
We present the first forcing interpretation of the future anthropogenic aerosol scenarios of CMIP6 with the simple plumes parameterisation MACv2-SP. The nine scenarios for 2015 to 2100 are based on…
Drivers of declining CO2 emissions in 18 developed economies
Global emissions of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) from fossil fuels and industry increased by 2.2% per year on average between 2005 and 2015. Global emissions need to peak and decline rapidly to limit…
The Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs and Climate requested PBL to conduct an update on SDE+ base amounts and grid connection costs of offshore wind energy in the Netherlands, based on current market…
Shared socio-economic pathways extended for the Baltic Sea: exploring long-term environmental problems
Long-term scenario analyses can be powerful tools to explore plausible futures of human development under changing environmental, social, and economic conditions and to evaluate implications of…
Interactions between climate change mitigation and adaptation: The case of hydropower in Brazil
This paper performs a multi-model comparison to assess strategies for adaptation to climate change impacts in hydropower generation in Brazil under two Representative Concentration Pathways. The…
Interactions between social learning and technological learning in electric vehicle futures
The transition to electric vehicles is an important strategy for reducing greenhouse gas emissions from passenger cars. Modelling future pathways helps identify critical drivers and uncertainties…
A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios
To support the assessments of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES), the IPBES Expert Group on Scenarios and Models is carrying out an…
Analyse van het voorstel voor hoofdlijnen van het klimaatakkoord
Op 10 juli 2018 is het Voorstel voor Hoofdlijnen van het Klimaatakkoord (VHKA) gepresenteerd. De voorzitter van het Klimaatberaad, Ed Nijpels, heeft het PBL gevraagd om te analyseren welke effecten…
Using dynamic relative climate impact curves to quantify the climate impact of bioenergy production systems over time
The climate impact of bioenergy is commonly quantified in terms of CO 2 equivalents, using a fixed 100‐year global warming potential as an equivalency metric. This method has been criticized for the…
Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving
