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Keeping the World’s Environment under Review

How do we take stock of the state and changing trend of the world’s environment and draw lessons from policy experiences? Amongst the myriad detailed narratives about the condition of the planet, the…

Trends in Global CO2 and Total Greenhouse Gas Emissions; 2021 Summary Report

In 2019, the growth in global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (excluding those from land-use change) slowed down to 0.6%, reaching 51.7 gigatonnes of CO 2 equivalent (GtCO 2 eq. This revised growth…

Developing scenarios in the context of the Paris Agreement and application in the integrated assessment model IMAGE: A framework for bridging the policy-modelling divide

The framework presented in this study aims to provide insights into how climate policy is represented in integrated assessment models, responding to the call to link model scenarios with concepts used…

Using large ensembles of climate change mitigation scenarios for robust insights

As they gain new users, climate change mitigation scenarios are playing an increasing role in transitions to net zero. One promising practice is the analysis of scenario ensembles. Here we argue that…

Global biomass supply modeling for long-run management of the climate system

Bioenergy is projected to have a prominent, valuable, and maybe essential, role in climate management. However, there is significant variation in projected bioenergy deployment results, as well as…

Identifying Potential Clusters of Future Migration Associated With Water Stress in Africa

Water stress negatively affects rural livelihoods that depend on agriculture. In some contexts, this can influence migration decisions, especially in vulnerable regions with limited adaptive capacity…

Navigating the political: An analysis of political calibration of integrated assessment modelling in light of the 1.5 °C goal

Some of the most influential explorations of low-carbon transformations are conducted with Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs). The recent attempts by the IPCC to look for pathways compatible with the…

The plastics integrated assessment model (PLAIA): Assessing emission mitigation pathways and circular economy strategies for the plastics sector

Integrated assessment models (IAM) study the interlinkages between human and natural systems and play a key role in assessing global strategies to reduce global warming. However, they largely neglect…

Decarbonisation options for Large Volume Organic Chemicals production, DOW Terneuzen

This report describes the current situation for the large volume organic chemicals (LVOC) production at DOW Chemical’s industrial complex, in Terneuzen, The Netherlands. The report also explores the…

Quantifying synergies and trade-offs in the global water-land-food-climate nexus using a multi-model scenario approach

The human-earth system is confronted with the challenge of providing a range of resources for a growing and more prosperous world population while simultaneously reducing environmental degradation…