Dit PBL-rapport brengt belangrijke klimaatrisico’s in Nederland in beeld die optreden in het huidige klimaat. Het voorliggend rapport is tot stand gekomen met inbreng van experts van verschillende…
Mid-century emission pathways in Japan associated with the global 2 °C goal: national and global models’ assessments based on carbon budgets
This study assesses Japan’s mid-century low-emission pathways using both national and global integrated assessment models in the common mitigation scenario framework, based on the carbon budgets…
Hydropower dependency and climate change in sub-Saharan Africa: A nexus framework and evidence-based review
In sub-Saharan Africa, 160 million grid-connected electricity consumers live in countries where hydropower accounts for over 50% of total power supply. A warmer climate with more frequent and intense…
Studie naar de voedselzekerheid effecten van mondiaal klimaatbeleid
Veel mondiale klimaatstrategieën maken gebruik van bio-energie en herbebossing. Beide strategieën gebruiken ook land en kunnen daardoor leiden tot een stijging van voedselprijzen. Als hier niets aan…
First forcing estimates from the future CMIP6 scenarios of anthropogenic aerosol optical properties and an associated Twomey effect
We present the first forcing interpretation of the future anthropogenic aerosol scenarios of CMIP6 with the simple plumes parameterisation MACv2-SP. The nine scenarios for 2015 to 2100 are based on…
The Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs and Climate requested PBL to conduct an update on SDE+ base amounts and grid connection costs of offshore wind energy in the Netherlands, based on current market…
Interactions between climate change mitigation and adaptation: The case of hydropower in Brazil
This paper performs a multi-model comparison to assess strategies for adaptation to climate change impacts in hydropower generation in Brazil under two Representative Concentration Pathways. The…
Interactions between social learning and technological learning in electric vehicle futures
The transition to electric vehicles is an important strategy for reducing greenhouse gas emissions from passenger cars. Modelling future pathways helps identify critical drivers and uncertainties…
Using dynamic relative climate impact curves to quantify the climate impact of bioenergy production systems over time
The climate impact of bioenergy is commonly quantified in terms of CO 2 equivalents, using a fixed 100‐year global warming potential as an equivalency metric. This method has been criticized for the…
In the past decades, the relationship between water issues and conflict risks received much attention, both in the literature and the media. However, reports and publications warning about these…
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