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Identifying Potential Clusters of Future Migration Associated With Water Stress in Africa

Water stress negatively affects rural livelihoods that depend on agriculture. In some contexts, this can influence migration decisions, especially in vulnerable regions with limited adaptive capacity…

Systematiek klimaatopgave

De gebiedsgerichte aanpak in het kader van het Nationaal Programma Landelijk Gebied vergt een vertaalslag van nationale klimaatdoelen voor 2030 naar doelen op provinciaal of gebiedsniveau. Onderzocht…

Short- and long-term warming effects of methane may affect the cost-effectiveness of mitigation policies and benefits of low-meat diets

Methane’s short atmospheric life has important implications for the design of global climate change mitigation policies in agriculture. Three different agricultural economic models are used to explore…

Stakeholder-designed scenarios for global food security assessments

To guide policymaking, decision makers require a good understanding of the long-term drivers of food security and their interactions. Scenario analysis is widely considered as the appropriate tool to…

Energy use in the global food system

The global food system is a major energy user and a relevant contributor to climate change. To date, the literature on the energy profile of food systems addresses individual countries and/or food…

Comparing the impact of future cropland expansion on global biodiversity and carbon storage across models and scenarios

Land-use change is a direct driver of biodiversity and carbon storage loss. Projections of future land use often include notable expansion of cropland areas in response to changes in climate and food…

Integrated Solutions for the Water-Energy-Land Nexus: Are Global Models Rising to the Challenge?

Increasing human demands for water, energy, food and materials, are expected to accentuate resource supply challenges over the coming decades. Experience suggests that long-term strategies for a…

Reconciling global sustainability targets and local action for food production and climate change mitigation

The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) imply country-led implementation. Yet, their achievement depends on sustainability targets compatible across different sectors and scales. Our study examines…

Making the Paris agreement climate targets consistent with food security objectives

Climate change mitigation is crucial to limit detrimental impacts of climate change on food production. However, cost-optimal mitigation pathways consistent with the Paris agreement project large…

Effecten ontwerp Klimaatakkoord

Op verzoek van het ministerie van Economische Zaken en Klimaat en het Klimaatberaad heeft het PBL het ontwerp Klimaatakkoord (OKA) doorgerekend. Centraal in deze analyse staan de verwachte effecten…